Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.110285 0.123280 0.136587 0.151195 0.166739 0.182748 0.200446
2024-10-06 0.094736 0.112920 0.132246 0.154181 0.178254 0.203745 0.232655
2024-10-13 0.082335 0.103955 0.127695 0.155410 0.186598 0.220353 0.259395
2024-10-20 0.072019 0.095998 0.123134 0.155617 0.192973 0.234157 0.282566
2024-10-27 0.062872 0.088379 0.118090 0.154498 0.197198 0.245045 0.302083
2024-11-03 0.056455 0.083343 0.115491 0.155702 0.203664 0.258149 0.323855
2024-11-10 0.052375 0.080756 0.115472 0.159659 0.213108 0.274511 0.349257
2024-11-17 0.047022 0.076054 0.112457 0.159654 0.217577 0.284886 0.367599
2024-11-24 0.042917 0.072622 0.110731 0.160971 0.223430 0.296740 0.387565
2024-12-01 0.039246 0.069456 0.109090 0.162178 0.228983 0.308123 0.406907
2024-12-08 0.035584 0.065991 0.106814 0.162375 0.233131 0.317712 0.424052
2024-12-15 0.032576 0.063210 0.105246 0.163315 0.238078 0.328181 0.442198
2024-12-22 0.028859 0.059257 0.102104 0.162357 0.240935 0.336541 0.458424
2024-12-29 0.026817 0.057674 0.102116 0.165489 0.248964 0.351265 0.482420
2025-01-05 0.024397 0.055280 0.100832 0.166778 0.254566 0.362980 0.502791
2025-01-12 0.021906 0.052529 0.098860 0.166997 0.258692 0.372811 0.520853
2025-01-19 0.019294 0.049305 0.095996 0.165829 0.260886 0.380148 0.535812
2025-01-26 0.017543 0.047391 0.094950 0.167088 0.266211 0.391391 0.555587
2025-02-02 0.016618 0.046873 0.095968 0.171223 0.275349 0.407482 0.581424
2025-02-09 0.014851 0.044602 0.094147 0.171217 0.278881 0.416406 0.598332
2025-02-16 0.013532 0.043041 0.093339 0.172593 0.284229 0.427632 0.618125
2025-02-23 0.012304 0.041519 0.092499 0.173854 0.289379 0.438590 0.637593
2025-03-02 0.010991 0.039659 0.090996 0.174059 0.293032 0.447586 0.654588